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[090.3.1/16.07.99]
Digital TV Take Up Is "Poor"
It seems that the great white hype of Digital TV is not living
up to its predicted success. Forrester Research has just
released a report that doesn't paint too good a picture for
all those "digidons" who have jumped on the DTV bandwagon.
"Unless current market conditions change dramatically, digital
television is going to fail," said Ekaterina Walsh, an analyst at
Forrester Research and author of the study. Among 10,000
consumers surveyed, Forrester found that almost a third of
Americans haven't even heard of digital television [a third of
Americans also don't own passports either], despite the fact
that the technology has been on the market for almost a year
now.
"It's looking like the entire consumer electronics industry is
living on the 'build it and they'll come' theory. And that's not
going to work," Walsh said. "If consumers don't know what it
is, they won't buy it."
There has been much talk about the "Future of Television" in
the media, about how it will be allow for a raft of new applications
and service as well as providing enhanced image and sound
quality. But, as with many new formats, there is sometimes
too much talk and not enough product. The difference between
the American and UK markets is also a considering factor, as
the report bases the fact that Digital TV is High Definition TV,
rather than the set-top box plugged into your existing analogue
TV which is it in the UK. This is important as HDTV is ridiculously
expensive as not many broadcasters support it and it is still a
proprietary format.
"The problem is that digital TV isn't really fulfilling an obvious
need that consumers have. It's a 'push' rather than 'pull' product,"
said Walsh. Forrester predicts that consumers won't bite until
high-definition digital television systems can be had for about
US$2,000, or about 60 percent less than the cheapest models
currently available.
Either way, as the WebTV article below also points out, it is not
going to smooth road to get those binary bits into the front
rooms of the world's homes.
http://www.forrester.com/
© ninfomania
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